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Trade Redux
Written by wrigleyville   
Wednesday, 13 August 2008
Last night, while damning the weather gods for having the Cubs and Braves postponed, I started to ponder the Brewers trade for C. C. Sabathia and the subsequent Cubs trade for Rich Harden. I thought to myself, I says, "Self...I think the Cubs will eventually be the winners of this little trade battle." So, I decided to pit the trades against one another to see how things have gone for both teams and how things could fare for both in the future. Thus far, after a very easy Baseball-Reference search of both players, I find the following lines for each pitcher in their new uniforms (keep in mind that I have no idea what I'm talking about): C. C. Sabathia: In 7 games as a Brewer, Moon Sabathia has gone 6-0 in 57 IP (8.14 IP/G) with a sparkling 1.57 ERA and downright sick 0.912 WHIP, only 10 ER (2 HR; one to Selfish Soriano) in those 57 IP, and a beautiful 52/12 K/BB ratio. Rich Harden: In 5 games as a Cub, Dick Harden has gone only 1-1 in 30 IP (6.00 IP/G) with an equally impressive 2.10 ERA and 1.033 WHIP, 7 ER (5 HR) in those 30 IP, and a wicked 49/9 K/BB ratio. Now, C. C. against the Cubs in his lone start against them: 6 2/3 IP, 9 hits, 2 BB and 3 K, 4 R (3 earned), and a no-decision in a Cubs 6-4 win on July 28 (Mrs. IAN thanks the Cubs for that one on her birthday). Rich Harden against the Brewers in his lone start against them: 7 IP, 6 hits, 0 BB and 9 K, 1 ER in a Cubs 11-4 win on July 31. So, without digging too far into the stats, a dunce like me can conclude that Sabathia has definitely helped the Brewers as they've won all but one of his seven starts. It just so happens that the lone loss comes ... well, it comes against the Cubs. Sabathia has been a Cy Young-worthy pitcher this season and if he wins it I wouldn't be surprised in the least. Harden, on the other hand, has had similar production for the Cubs (maybe not in the IP department, but Harden's never been the longevity type, only going over 130 IP once in his career in 2004), however the Cubs are 3-2 in his five starts. So ... the good news for the Cubs is that they've had success against the gravitational field of Moon Sabathia, albeit in one game. The same can be said for Harden, as he's had success against the Brewers with his new team, but in the one game. Even better for the Cubs is that Harden has a club option for 2009 (which the Cubs should pick up for only $7M; Harden's arbitration-eligible if declined). The Cubs gave up some AAAA players in Eric Patterson and Matt Murton, but Sean Gallagher may eventually turn out to be a good #2 for the A's. The bad news for the Brewers is that they'll never sign Carsten Charles Sabathia and they've given up some good talent in OF Matt LaPorta. The upside is that C. C. is good at pitching and the Brewer outfield is ... well, it can hit (but fields like they're dragging High Life kegs) and is probably set with Braun and Hart at the corners. But Planet Fielder will probably be wearing Yankee pinstripes in no time at all. To conclude, the Cubs are 3.0 games up over Milwaukee as of right now, with the Cubs set to play two against the Braves today and are 7-3 over their last 10. The Brewers have been playing well as of late, too, going 8-2 in their last 10 and are on an easy West Coast swing. If Harden can stay healthy (and those are always the best "if's" to if about when speaking of Cub pitchers) and the Cubs pony up the goods to keep him in Chicago, they will win the trade derby. With football starting up and Saints camp in full swing, I'll admit that I've been a little lax on my Cub-watching. But this homestretch into October will be one to watch and I can't wait to see what happens.

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