Phil Rogers shares "10 baseball truths" from spring training this year and beats a dead horse to a pulp:

7. The Cubs really might go 80-82, payroll be damned. They look more like a team in transition than one that will allow Lou Piniella to finish the job he was hired to do. How could they have invested in Bradley, not Adam Dunn? When they gave Bradley $30 million over three years, Dunn would have loved to have taken his $20 million from the Cubs rather than the Nationals.

8. The Mark DeRosa trade still looks bad. Cubs GM Jim Hendry really likes the pitchers he got in that trade (Jeff Stevens, John Gaub and Chris Archer), but now's the time to get something out of the right-handed Stevens and the left-handed Gaub, and both are off to shaky starts this spring.

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10. Carlos Silva, not so much. I still think the Cubs should have just released Bradley instead of going through the agonizing process of trading him. Because the Mariners are paying $9 million of the $25 million owed Silva, the Cubs will save $5 million if they wind up releasing Silva, who looked like he was throwing BP against the Sox on Saturday.

For those scoring at home, that's one DeRosa and two Bradley mentions in the space of four "truths."

And - near as I can tell - he is suggesting in the last one that the Cubs should not have put them in a position to save money on the Bradley mess. Curious logic. Then again, he also advocated getting rid of Carlos Zambrano last year for a bag of balls, so his baseball acumen is somewhat by lacking. And by "somewhat" I mean "completely."

That said, I say there is a 13 percent chance Silva makes the team, by the way.

(Oh, and on the plus side: Rogers mentions a lot of people in this column, and he seems to get all of them right. Bravo!)